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News Aug 15, 2018 - 3:26:15 PM

QU Poll: Trump hurts GOP as Dems hold 9-pt lead in House races

By Quinnipiac University Poll

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Donald Trump’s presidency makes 52 percent of American voters think less favorably of the Republican Party, while 16 percent think more favorably of the GOP and 30 percent say President Trump has no impact on their views, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

Among Republicans, 39 percent think more favorably of their party because of Trump, as 18 percent think less favorably and 42 percent say Trump has no impact on how they view the GOP.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, 51 percent of American voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 42 percent say they would vote Republican. Independent voters go Democratic 50 – 38 percent.

A July 25 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll showed Democrats ahead 51 – 39 percent, including 50 – 33 percent among independent voters.

Today, voters say 58 – 39 percent that it’s important that a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives share their view of President Trump.

The next Congress should do more to check President Trump, 51 percent of voters say, as 43 percent say the next Congress should do more to help the president.

“A 51 – 42 percent numerical storm cloud looms over the GOP as the Midterm Elections approach. The 9-point differential, if it holds up, could add up to a lot of seats, maybe enough for the Democrats to snatch the House from the Republicans,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

American voters say 48 – 41 percent that the Democratic Party best represents their values. Looking at which party can better handle key issues, voters say:

? 49 – 41 percent that the Republicans can do a better job on the economy;

? 47 – 41 percent that the Republicans can do a better job on taxes;

? 53 – 36 percent that the Democrats can do better on health care;

? 50 – 40 percent that the Democrats can do better on immigration;

? 55 – 31 percent that the Democrats can do better on race relations;

? 44 – 44 percent split on which party can do better on gun policy;

? 46 percent that the Democrats can do better on foreign policy, with 43 percent for Republicans;

? 48 – 40 percent that the Republicans can do better on national security;

? 39 – 34 percent that the Democrats can do better handling government corruption.

Climate Change, Supreme Court

The U.S. is doing enough to address climate change, 18 percent of voters say, as 10 percent say the U.S. is doing too much and 64 percent say more must be done.

Climate change is a factor in making California wildfires more extreme, American voters say 53 – 39 percent.

“The California fires rage; much of the rest of the country bakes. Voters wipe their brows and say climate change is here and cool heads better prevail and fix it,” Malloy said.

The U.S. Senate should confirm Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, 44 percent of voters say, while 39 percent oppose his confirmation. Men back confirmation 49 – 36 percent. Women are divided as 38 percent support confirmation, with 41 percent opposed.

The Wall, Immigration

American voters oppose 58 – 38 percent building a wall on the border with Mexico. Opposition is 52 – 44 percent among white voters, 82 – 12 percent among black voters and 71 – 26 percent among Hispanic voters.

The issue of separating children from their families while crossing the border is important to their vote for the U.S. House of Representatives, American voters say 64 – 34 percent.

From August 9 – 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,175 voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points, including design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and Texas as a public service and for research.

Visit or
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

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